Tighten Current state; document two-sided net-value interpretation

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Keysat
2026-06-16 12:53:14 -05:00
parent 0cba2626d3
commit 29bca8b387
2 changed files with 20 additions and 21 deletions
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@@ -116,25 +116,19 @@ IP appears only as an env-var default.
## Current state (snapshot — overwrite each session; longer-term backlog → `ROADMAP.md`)
- **Strike adversarial test: CONDITIONAL PASS (2026-06-16).** Full pipeline ran: extraction drained the
final 63 filing jobs via the Gemini backend (3,330 claims, **0 failures/timeouts/429s**) → **56,008
claims** total → `embed-claims` indexed all 56,008 into Qdrant (points == claims, hybrid dense+BM25) →
`two-sided --conviction STRIKE2022 --modes live,test`. **Result:** the engine correctly **refuses the
false positive** — the two scoring nodes (`lightning-retail-acceptance`, `merchant-lightning-integration`)
sit at `net=+0.25`, the *capped single-bitcoin-cluster* value, far below the `EISC_FLOOR=2.0` firing bar
(`signals/bar.py`); the §3 "Bitcoin is one capped cluster" guardrail holds. **But the reflexivity
*demonstration* (live < test via own_network drop) is NOT exercised:** `own_net=0` and live==test because
the own_network shows that carry the reflexive Lightning chatter — **RHR (80), CD (77), Bitcoin.Review (12)
= 169 eps — were deferred at transcription 2026-06-08** ("focus on WBD/Livera/Rooke/Anita"; no audio
downloaded), so they have 0 claims. (TFTC partially transcribed, 19/80 → 329 claims; the current +0.25
comes from *independent* bitcoin-cluster shows.) **Operator call 2026-06-16: accept the conditional pass,
no audio-GPU spend now.** To fully demonstrate reflexivity later: un-defer + transcribe the RHR/CD
202223 Lightning-retail window → re-extract → re-run `two-sided` (then test mode should fire while live
stays quiet). Tracked in `ROADMAP.md`.
- **Strike adversarial test: CONDITIONAL PASS (2026-06-16).** Pipeline complete end-to-end — extraction
drained the last 63 filing jobs (Gemini, 3,330 claims, 0 failures) → **56,008 claims** all embedded in
Qdrant → `two-sided --conviction STRIKE2022 --modes live,test`. The engine **refuses the false positive**:
the Lightning-retail nodes net `+0.25` (capped single bitcoin cluster, ≪ `EISC_FLOOR=2.0`), §3 guardrail
holding. The own_network-drop *reflexivity demo* is unexercised (`own_net=0`, live==test) because
RHR/CD/Bitcoin.Review (169 eps) were deferred at transcription 2026-06-08; operator accepted the
conditional pass, no audio-GPU spend now. How to read the net value + the full follow-up:
`docs/guides/scoring-brain.md` (STRIKE2022) and `ROADMAP.md`.
- **Battery test PASSES; §7.1 power-infra qualified YES** (both unchanged).
- **5 commits ahead of `origin/main`, UNPUSHED** (Gitea `immense-voyage.local`). The `backends.py`
timeout/retry change the prior handoff flagged as uncommitted was in fact committed (`87b6b05`); tree is
otherwise clean apart from this Current-state edit. Run `git push origin main`.
- Corpus: bitcoin podcasts (own_network: TFTC partial; RHR/CD/Bitcoin.Review deferred), SEC/FMP filings
(+`banks` cluster, now extracted: Robinhood 2216, Morgan Stanley 644, JPMorgan 382… + power-infra names
Oklo/NuScale/Cipher/TeraWulf), Battery corpus, River research; EISC edges seeded for the bitcoin cluster.
- **Corpus:** bitcoin podcasts (own_network: TFTC partial 19/80; RHR/CD/Bitcoin.Review deferred), SEC/FMP
filings (`banks` cluster now extracted + power-infra names Oklo/NuScale/Cipher/TeraWulf), Battery corpus,
River research; EISC edges seeded for the bitcoin cluster.
- **Repo:** clean, in sync with `origin/main` (Gitea). No automated test suite (on ROADMAP).
- **NEXT (priority order, all fresh scopes — confirm direction first):** (1) frontier-fan-out test H6, the
untested half of the §1.1 validation; (2) complete the Strike reflexivity demo when audio-GPU budget
allows (un-defer RHR/CD 202223 → re-extract → re-run); (3) Job A discovery scorers for the forward pilot.